It’s not concerning the FED for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD by Crypt1m

The world is present process a geopolitical shift proper now like of which’s not seen because the finish of WWII.
International establishments/mechanisms that put in place after WWII and are speculated to uphold peace are both not related anymore (UNSC) or not functioning correctly (NATO).

Western Civilisation is in a catch 22 vis a vis Russia relating to Ukraine state of affairs. If they resolve to go all in in help of Ukraine towards Russia in a protracted conflict, that’d not solely devastate international economic system much more, however possibly even threat a nuclear confrontation down the road. If they resolve to cede territory to appease Russia, that’d encourage and empower revisionist international locations even additional which are already bent on altering the established order relating to the place of US and her foreign money in a world sense.

China with it’s Zero Covid Policy, distrupting international provide chain they usually’ve began to flex their muscle mass over Taiwan. If they make a transfer and US response can be just like that of Ukraine (till now), that’d increase alarm bells over at Japan and South Korea who will abruptly realise that they’re surrounded by expansionist dictatorships and their world hegemon suggar daddy is not reliable. This would imply an entire failure of US safety internet and US coverage within the Pacific area.

In different information, since world’s greatest grain suppliers are busy combating one another, international locations all over the world are banning meals exports to accomodate their very own individuals which is able to nearly definitely end in international meals provide issues and possibly even famine in sure elements of the world.

So, FED’s charge hikes is not going to end in a recession, however in a stagflation, economic system will come to a halt however inflation will carry on rising due to all these elements. FED can solely management the demand (to an extent). They haven’t any energy over the rising power/meals costs or provide chain distruptions. Not solely will US enter right into a stagflation however due to the speed hikes, creating and third world international locations shall be unable to pay their curiosity on their exterior debt they usually’ll begin to default one after the other, like dominoe stones.

Either the entire world will resolve to brush all of those issues beneath the rug to dwell one other day, or we’re all heading right into a confrontation in an enormous scale.

So I counsel you all to not belief any value primarily based on technical ranges. Give it 6 months to see the place the world is heading and make investments accordingly.

Remember people; elementary evaluation > technical evaluation . Stay secure.